This year is not only my first year of voting, but a presidential election year. Upon witnessing the development of our government, I have become more engaged in politics. Often, I am engulfed by the Washington Post, The New York Times, CNN, NBC, or any other news outlet. As I sit here, hours before the caucus, I feel I should share who I am caucusing for, why, and my predictions for both my caucus location, and the entire state of Iowa.
When I was choosing a candidate, I wanted to find the issues that mattered to me the most, and align my ideas with a candidate. I could dive into the candidates and each of their policies, however, I will do the three issues that are both important and have defining differences. As the candidates began to spread, I was interested in their environment policies. The candidates I agreed with were Elizabeth Warren, Beto O’rourke, and Pete Buttigieg. The issue second on my list was immigration. The importance of immigrants of all colors, not just the white ones are essential to our growing economy. Because of this, I agreed with the open borders ideas proposed by Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren andBeto O’rourke. Third is medicare. I agree that medicare is a right for all people, but I also believe the medicare system should continue to perform at a high level. I support Pete Buttigieg’s “Medicare for all who want it.” This provides medicare for people who cannot afford private healthcare. We see countries like England or Canada that have medicare for all, and we think, “Why can’t we have the same system as them?” I asked my dad this question, and he responded, that the quality of medicare provided through their government is low, and to get a higher quality, they end up paying, not as much as US citizens, but a lot. He also supports Pete Buttigieg, and he said, doing a “for those who want it” system can raise the base level of medicare provided by the government, without spending excessive amounts of money. After reading all of the candidates’ policies, it seemed that there would six candidates (at the time) I aligned with almost universally, Pete Buttigieg, Bernie Sanders, Kamala Harris, Andrew Yang, Amy Klobachar, and Beto O’rourke.
As the Nation has continued to polarize, I wanted a president that could bring the nation closer together. I read into each candidate’s history and their general personality. As I did research, a clear ranking developed, O’rourke, Harris, Buttigieg, Klobachar, Sanders, then Yang. Going into October, Beto began to slip in the polls, and Harris stopped growing, I found myself engrossed in all the candidates, not able to find someone to support.
Over the past couple months, I have used rallys, Q and As, and other presidential candidate’s events to find a candidate that inspires me to support and caucus for them. On December 6th, Pete Buttigieg held an event at the Harris Center. Going into this, I was leaning towards Pete, but didn’t have a clear decision. He addressed issues that were important to me, specifically, environmental stability, both in rural America, and in cities. It was the first event I attended, where the candidate answered questions and didn’t just talk. Beyond this, he handled the negativity at this event with poise, inspiring unification over admonition. This inspired me to commit to Pete. Since then, I have canvassed three times, and have talked to people, most of which are undecided.
Since tonight is caucus night, I believe I should share my brief predictions. Living in the North side of Grinnell, it is predominantly older, upper middle class, and white. Like many people, I am glued to polls, and know the candidates’ supporter’s demographic. Bernie (1st), Biden (2nd), Buttigieg (3rd), Warren will end 4th. Across Iowa, I believe that the results will end as, Bernie (1st), Biden (2nd), Warren (3rd), and Buttigieg (4th).
After attending the caucus my predictions for my precinct were way off. My precinct offers seventeen delegates, and the results were as follows, Warren with six delegates, Klobechar with four, Sanders with four, and Buttigieg with three.
To describe my caucus in detail: there were 328 people, making the 15% threshold 50 people. As we lined up, it was clear Warren and Bernie had strong support, easily making the threshold. In the Buttigieg line, I could tell it was going to be close. As we got into lines of ten, we heard the Klobuchar people cheer, cementing their threshold number. The total of the Buttigieg supporters was 49, making them 6 short of the threshold. After counting, members of the Pete campaign, spoke to people in the undecided, and those that are aligned with unviable candidates. I went to the Biden line, attempting to have them realign with Pete. At first, they were unwilling to change, but when their number ended at 26, they realized they had to change to their second candidate. After the end of the second round, Pete was able to get people from the Biden, Yang, and undecided to boost their number to 55 people, making them eligible.
I attended the 2016 caucus, and this caucus was much different for the North precinct. In the previous caucus, there were two candidates, making it much more black and white, where this one had four viable candidates, creating a more interesting process. Candidate leaders had to use more strategy to have their candidate read the threshold.
My favorite event of the night was when two people wrote in “Jimmy Carter” during round one, so they wouldn’t end up undecided after the first round.
Before my first caucus, in 2016, my mom would say, “The caucus is a relic of the past.” I would respond saying I agree, but I enjoy watching the caucus, because it is fun. However, after the “shitshow” Monday, my mother’s ideology, shared by much of America, was confirmed.
After the caucus, like many others, I immediately layed in bed with my mom and turned on CNN, expecting to see the results. As more and more locations failed to send in the results, we were beginning to feel frustrated. My mom reiterated what she has been saying for four years, “The caucus is a relic of the past.” To understand what my mother meant by this, I asked her to describe the weaknesses of having the Iowa caucus go first. She believes the caucus is undemocratic. Some people don’t feel comfortable publicizing their political beliefs. She says in the constitution we have the right to a private ballot (which refers to the presidential ballot), so she questions why we can’t for the nominations as well. She also believes having Iowa go first gives an advantage to specific candidates. Iowa’s demographics are not representative of the whole nation’s, so when a candidate has low support from specific communities, the votes could be skewed in Iowa.